Covid-19: can the 4th wave be of the same magnitude in the hospital as the previous ones?

THE CHEKING PROCESS – Jean Castex announced 18,000 new contaminations in 24 hours on July 20. Will hospitalizations follow, even if more than half of the French are vaccinated?

THE QUESTION. France has indeed entered the fourth wave of Covid-19. Prime Minister Jean Castex announced Tuesday, July 20, 18,000 new positive cases for Covid-19 in 24 hours, an increase in coronavirus contaminations to the tune of 140% in the space of a week. This exponential increase is due to the arrival of the Delta variant, which is becoming predominant throughout the territory.

Faced with this sharp acceleration in contamination, the director of Paris hospitals, Martin Hirsch, expressed concern in the newspaper Release. New cases should not turn into hospitalizations, and currently “pre-hospital indicators are on the rise.“If the transmission follows the same trajectory as that of last year, that is to say from the youngest to the seniors,”we can fear the worst even if almost half of the population is vaccinated today», Warns the senior official. According to him, the wave can be

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