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Covid-19: is containment inevitable?


THE CHEKING PROCESS – Will the advanced curfew at 6 p.m. be enough to prevent the congestion of hospitals before the English variant ignites the epidemic?

THE QUESTION. Neither the executive nor the scientists hide it: a new confinement cannot be ruled out in France. It would even be impossible to cut it, according to some specialists. “We will not escape a re-containment (…) I say to the government, do it now, do it for a shorter time, but do it“, Pleaded Thursday, January 21 on France Info Professor Renaud Piarroux, epidemiologist and head of the parasitology department at the Pitié Salpêtrière hospital (Paris).

By dint of hearing it said, the population got used to the idea. According to a survey recently published in the daily The echoes, three quarters of respondents believe that“A new confinement will take place soon“. Is re-containment really inevitable?

CHECKS. To put it simply, the decision to confine the population or not is based mainly on one element: the capacity of hospitals to take care of all patients. Last spring, the projections

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