Covid-19: the slight upturn in the circulation of the virus does not yet worry specialists

DECRYPTION – If the number of contaminations in France is on the rise again, there are reasons for optimism.

After two months of continuous decline, the circulation of the virus has started to rise again. The number of cases remains relatively low, however, since there are less than 5,000 daily contaminations (calculated over a period of seven sliding days), 4,600 on October 18, against 4,200 on the 10th of the same month. The incidence rate is therefore less than 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in most departments. Note that according to Public Health France, this figure may be slightly underestimated. Indeed, since October 15 the tests have become paying for the unvaccinated: 371,000 tests were carried out that day, against 675,000 the previous Friday. The thermometer we are using to measure the temperature of the outbreak is sort of in a reset phase, and it takes a few days to really judge the current dynamics.

That said, when we focus on the number of severe forms of the disease, a more reliable indicator, but slightly shifted in

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