Covid-19: why the epidemic has finally started to decline


DECRYPTION – All the indicators are now clearly improving on the territory.

Emmanuel Macron would he be on the way to winning his bet? By bringing the school holidays forward and concentrating them on the same period throughout the territory, the government seems to have succeeded in regaining control over the epidemic. The situation is not yet idyllic since 250 people die from Covid every day. And hospitals receive nearly 1,500 patients daily, of whom around 300 are treated in an intensive care unit. Most services therefore remain above their reception capacities.

But the momentum has been declining for almost two weeks. Thus, a little less than 21,000 tests come back positive every day, against 40,000 when the President of the Republic spoke. “There is no reason for this decline to stop in the next ten days, analysis Mahmoud Zureik, professor of epidemiology and public health at the University of Versailles Saint-Quentin. We can thus legitimately hope that the incidence increases to 15,000 cases.

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