Covid-19: without the vaccination and the health pass, would the government have already had to close certain places?

THE CHEKING PROCESS – This is what the government spokesperson, Gabriel Attal, said to defend the strategy carried by the executive.

THE QUESTION. “If Cleopatra’s nose had been shorter, the whole face of the world would have changed», Wrote Pascal in the 17th century. This form of thought is called a “counterfactual reasoning», In other words against the facts. Gabriel Attal, the government spokesperson, played this game to defend the strategy carried by the executive.

Without the vaccination and the health pass, the government would have “probably had to close a number of places“In the territories most affected by the virus, explained the youngest of the government, specifying:”Thanks to the vaccination, we have noticed for several weeks that we have less serious forms (…) The vaccine has a positive impact and the health pass will also allow these places to remain open.“. Does this reasoning hold?

CHECKS. On the vaccination itself, there is no room for doubt: the fourth wave, admittedly for the moment a little less strong than the first three in number of contaminations,

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