Covid: is the “second wave” stronger than the “first”?


THE CHEKING PROCESS – Prime Minister Jean Castex announced Thursday evening that the number of hospitalizations had exceeded the peak in April.

It is obviously considerable and we exceeded in number of hospitalizations the peak of the month of AprilThe Prime Minister said Thursday. POOL / REUTERS

THE QUESTION.In recent days, we have been counting one hospitalization every 30 seconds and one admission to intensive care unit every 3 minutes.», Declared Jean Castex, the Prime Minister, during his press conference on Thursday 12 November. And the head of government establish the following comparison: “It is obviously considerable and we exceeded in number of hospitalizations the peak of the month of April“. Does this mean that the “second wave“Is stronger than”first», As one might quickly believe? What do health statistics say?

CHECKS. And let’s take a look at all the indicators that provide a daily overview of the epidemic.

The first, which could indicate a priori the gross extent of the epidemic, is actually not significant, not in itself, but because the data between the two “wavesAre not comparable. It’s about number of daily cases of contamination diagnosed. However, this indicator depends very largely on

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