In Toulouse, the curfew advanced to 6 p.m. seems to have been counterproductive

According to a CHU model, the measure would have accelerated the spread of the virus in the city instead of slowing it down.

Advancing the curfew to 6 p.m. has it been effective in fighting the spread of Covid-19? The measure was taken on January 15 in France to avoid the “aperitif effect” supposedly favored by a later curfew, according to the formula of the LREM delegate Stanislas Guérini.

For the moment, all that can be said at the national level is that the advanced curfew has not made it possible to “break” the epidemic dynamic in a spectacular way. The number of daily positive cases, which was 18,000 at the time of the announcement, has stagnated for more than a week on a high plateau around 20,000. The number of people in intensive care exceeded the threshold of 3,000 on January 25 and was 3,148 on January 31. We are therefore on a stabilization at a high level of the circulation of the virus. And it’s not clear whether this is to be attributed to the restrictions put in place in mid-January, or those that were already in place before.

One of the problems identified

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