Far behind Emmanuel Macron, Marine Le Pen is followed by Xavier Bertrand, Eric Zemmour and Jean-Luc Mélenchon for a place in the second round, according to this poll.
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Is Marine Le Pen paying the price for Eric Zemmour’s rise to power? A Harris Interactive poll for Challenges, published Tuesday, September 28, credits the candidate of the National Rally with 16% of the voting intentions in the first round of the presidential election of 2022, against 24% a month earlier. For his part, the far-right polemicist, who has not declared his candidacy, would collect 13 to 14% of the votes, against 7% at the beginning of September.
Harris Interactive voting intentions @Challenges Tightening of voting intentions in the first round
Behind @EmmanuelMacron (23%) @MLP_officiel (16%) shoulder to shoulder with @xavierbertrand (14%) @ZemmourEric (13%) @JLMelenchon (13%)# Presidentielle2022 pic.twitter.com/k7i6arSMLC
– Harris Interactive (@harrisint_fr) September 28, 2021
On the right, Xavier Bertrand is the candidate who would obtain the most votes (14%), more than in the configuration where respondents could choose Valérie Pécresse (12%) or that where the name retained was Michel Barnier (8%). Emmanuel Macron obtains between 23 and 26% of the voting intentions depending on the configurations. On the left, Jean-Luc Mélenchon would obtain 13% of the vote, the socialist Anne Hidalgo 7% and the ecologist Yannick Jadot 6%, far ahead of Arnaud Montebourg (2%).
In the second round, Emmanuel Macron would be re-elected with 54% of the vote, the total of Marine Le Pen (46%) remaining stable, in the same range since March (between 45 and 47%). Two-thirds of Eric Zemmour’s potential voters would rally to Marine Le Pen in the second round, against 7% to Emmanuel Macron and 27% of blank, null or abstention votes.
As a reminder, voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the ballot. They only give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.
Survey carried out online from September 24 to 27 with a sample of 1,379 people representative of the French population aged 18 and over, including 1,048 registered on the electoral roll, according to the quota method. Margin of error for voting intentions between 1.4 and 3.1 points.