Presidential: a poll gives Valérie Pécresse neck and neck with Marine Le Pen, behind Emmanuel Macron


The right-wing candidate, who has just won the LR congress, is entering the battle for the second round for the first time.

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The dynamics of victory. The neo-candidate LR Valérie Pécresse takes points in the voting intentions. Sf the first round of the presidential election took place on Sunday, Emmanuel Macron would come far ahead (25%,) but Marine Le Pen and Valérie Pécresse would be neck and neck for second place with 17% of the intentions, saccording to an Ifop-Fiducial survey for LCI and Le Figaro, aired Monday, December 6.

>> Read also: panel, methodology, margin of error … Everything you need to know to decipher the polls

Nominated LR candidate on Saturday, the current president of the Ile-de-France region is boosting her scores compared to polls carried out in November (+3) and October (+7). Eric Zemmour comes in fourth with 13%. On the left, no candidate crosses the 10% mark. LFI leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads the way for the candidates by arriving fifth and collecting 9% of the voting intentions. The ecologist Yannick Jadot gleans 6% of the intentions, the socialist Anne Hidalgo, 5%.

In the event of accession to the second round, it is Valérie Pécresse who would give the outgoing president the most difficulty by collecting 48% of the voting intentions against 52 for the current tenant of the Elysée. The postponement of left-wing votes between the first and second round would be much less favorable to Emmanuel Macron in the presence of Valérie Pécresse (63%) for the second round of the presidential election than if he were to be confronted with Marine Le Pen (80% ) or Eric Zemmour (85%).

Faced with the former president of the RN, the head of state would win by 56% against 44 and 63% against 37% if he had to challenge the former journalist and columnist. Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the ballot. They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.

* Survey conducted by self-administered online questionnaire from December 4 to 6, 2021, with a sample of 1,341 people registered on the electoral roll. Margin of error of 1.2 to 2.7 points.



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