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Should we expect a third wave?


THE CHEKING PROCESS – While France is confined for the second time, what can we envisage as the evolution of the epidemic in the medium term?

As we begin the third week of reconfinement, many wonder what the year 2021 will be made of.
As we begin the third week of reconfinement, many wonder what the year 2021 will be made of. STEPHANE MAHE / REUTERS

THE QUESTION. A few days before its announcement, the possibility of a second confinement in France still seemed completely excluded for the executive. The failure of the strategy “trace-test-isolateProved him wrong. As we begin our third week of reconfinement – the release date of which has not yet been set – many are wondering what the year 2021 will be.

Are we heading for a third epidemic wave (or more)? Should we expect to alternate periods of confinement and deconfinement? Or will the lessons learned from these two lockdowns be profitable? Le Figaro took the temperature from scientists who have been scrutinizing the dynamics of the Sars-CoV-2 epidemic for months.

CHECKS. We cannot say what will happen, it will depend on what the government decides. On the other hand, we know that the same causes generally produce the same effects.», Replies Samuel Alizon, research director at CNRS,

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